Tell City
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #81
Brown County Semi-State Rank #15
Crawford County Regional Rank #5
Jasper Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish 18th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 89.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Kentucky-Indiana Border Clash Boonville Invitational Dennis Bays Warrior Invite Eagle Classic Lincoln Trails Invitational Pocket Athletic Conference Jasper Sectional Crawford County Regional Brown County Semi-State
Date 8/16 8/20 8/27 9/10 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 825 724 772 702 832 809 801 829 834 882
Team Adjusted Rating 724 772 702 832 809 801 829 834 882
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Kentucky-Indiana Border Clash Boonville Invitational Dennis Bays Warrior Invite Eagle Classic Lincoln Trails Invitational Pocket Athletic Conference Jasper Sectional Crawford County Regional Brown County Semi-State
600  Kiara Bundy 12 21:43 21:10 21:08 21:03 21:32 21:38 21:12 21:44 24:20 23:14
625  Lexi Schaefer 11 21:48 22:13 20:54 21:24 20:59 23:02 21:47 21:49 22:03 21:56 21:39
663  Lexi Lain 9 21:54 21:39 21:39 21:27 21:33 21:59 21:54 22:34 21:32 23:01
698  Briley Applegate 11 22:00 22:02 22:04 21:57 22:01 21:51 22:17 21:56 21:56 21:55
750  Lydia Hollinden 9 22:08 22:08 22:38 22:48 23:12 22:07 22:06 21:49 21:57 21:56
766  Jada Lindauer 10 22:10 22:55 22:06 22:24 22:02 22:16 22:47 22:06 22:18 22:21 21:58
837  Emma Hollinden 11 22:22 21:59 22:08 22:51 22:16 22:19 22:03 22:10 22:05 22:35 23:12
966  Lilly Cooper 9 22:37 23:34 24:15 22:51 22:26 22:13 22:19
Eleanor Kaufman 10 23:54 25:49 23:46 23:54 23:19 23:41 26:00 23:49




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 89.0% 16.4 404 0.1 3.0 6.0 7.3 8.0 8.7 9.7 10.5 12.3 12.2 11.4
Regionals 100% 4.5 145 0.4 58.4 30.2 9.2 1.6 0.2 0.0
Sectionals 100% 2.4 81 1.0 66.9 26.7 5.4 0.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kiara Bundy 94.8% 109.5 52.3% 64.6%
Lexi Schaefer 92.8% 113.3 34.2% 51.9%
Lexi Lain 90.8% 117.8 16.5% 36.9%
Briley Applegate 89.8% 121.8 7.3% 25.6%
Lydia Hollinden 89.4% 126.9 3.6% 14.8%
Jada Lindauer 89.2% 128.6 2.0% 11.2%
Emma Hollinden 89.0% 135.2 0.0% 3.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kiara Bundy 100% 27.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.6 2.1 3.3 4.3 5.6 7.5 100.0%
Lexi Schaefer 100% 29.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.1 2.0 2.5 3.8 4.9 100.0%
Lexi Lain 100% 32.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.3 1.6 2.7 100.0%
Briley Applegate 100% 34.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.2 100.0%
Lydia Hollinden 100% 37.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 100.0%
Jada Lindauer 100% 38.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 100.0%
Emma Hollinden 100% 43.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kiara Bundy 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 3.0 6.3 10.6 16.2 15.3 12.1 9.5 7.3 5.6 4.5 2.7 2.2 1.4 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1
Lexi Schaefer 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 3.4 6.7 11.2 13.5 12.4 11.0 9.4 7.5 6.8 5.3 3.8 2.6 2.0 1.0 0.6 0.4
Lexi Lain 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.5 3.1 6.2 8.9 10.7 10.3 10.0 9.8 8.4 8.1 6.5 5.3 3.8 2.8 2.0 1.0
Briley Applegate 17.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.6 2.8 4.6 6.9 9.2 9.1 9.6 9.6 9.2 8.7 8.1 6.1 5.0 3.3 2.5
Lydia Hollinden 19.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.0 3.2 4.4 5.9 6.9 8.2 8.9 9.6 9.8 9.5 8.9 7.2 5.8
Jada Lindauer 20.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.4 2.1 3.6 4.7 6.1 6.8 8.7 9.1 9.6 9.8 9.6 9.0 6.8
Emma Hollinden 23.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.3 1.9 3.0 3.6 4.5 6.7 9.4 10.3 12.2 12.1